TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Rinaldo Persson vs K. Quevedo (Bastad on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with K. Quevedo favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Rinaldo Persson | K. Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.3% | 65.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.7% | 72.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.3% | 65.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.5% | 70.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rinaldo Persson | clay | 1574 | 111–69 | 180 |
| K. Quevedo | clay | 1748 | 90–49 | 139 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
K. Quevedo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Bastad | clay | K. Quevedo | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Bennemann | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | I. Wobker | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Zeltina | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Lombardini | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 1 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Monnet | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | I. Fetecau | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used