K. Rakhimova vs V. Williams — Prediction & Analysis

Toronto · WTA Toronto - 1/64-finals · Aug. 3, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Rakhimova (moneyline) at 1.28 in K. Rakhimova vs V. Williams (Toronto on 2026-08-03). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds K. Rakhimova 1.20 · V. Williams 4.50

Bot bet

K. Rakhimova (moneyline) @ 1.28 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: K. Rakhimova · V. Williams · head-to-head record · Toronto

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method K. Rakhimova V. Williams
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
90.1% 9.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
91.9% 8.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
74.9% 25.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
83.5% 16.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
78.9% 21.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
K. Rakhimova hard1776 123–107230
V. Williams hard1293 6–3440

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.

Head to head

K. Rakhimova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 2, 2026TorontohardK. Rakhimova2 - 0

Recent form

K. Rakhimova

L L. Fernandez 2 - 0 Oct. 31, 2026
W M. Joint 2 - 1 Oct. 30, 2026
W E. Alexandrova 2 - 1 Oct. 28, 2026
L A. Sasnovich 2 - 0 Oct. 25, 2026
W S. Tsujioka 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026

V. Williams

L M. Stoiana 0 - 2 Nov. 2, 2026
L L. Tagger 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L S. Kenin 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L E. Arango 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026
L K. Rakhimova 2 - 0 Aug. 2, 2026

All Aug. 3, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →