K. Quevedo vs A. Kalinina — Prediction & Analysis

Hamburg · WTA Hamburg - 1/16-finals · July 20, 2026 · 13:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Quevedo (moneyline) at 2.75 in K. Quevedo vs A. Kalinina (Hamburg on 2026-07-20). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds K. Quevedo 2.75 · A. Kalinina 1.44

Bot bet

K. Quevedo (moneyline) @ 2.75 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: K. Quevedo · A. Kalinina · head-to-head record · Hamburg

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method K. Quevedo A. Kalinina
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
38.7% 61.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
46.5% 53.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
63.3% 36.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
45.3% 54.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
34.4% 65.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
K. Quevedo clay1747 90–49139
A. Kalinina clay1815 91–47138

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.

Head to head

A. Kalinina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 20, 2026HamburgclayA. Kalinina2 - 0

Recent form

K. Quevedo

L C. Liu 0 - 2 Sept. 10, 2026
W S. Sorribes Tormo 2 - 1 Sept. 9, 2026
W A. S. Rogers 2 - 1 Sept. 8, 2026
L E. Mertens 0 - 2 Sept. 1, 2026
L E. Ovcharenko 2 - 1 Aug. 24, 2026

A. Kalinina

L H. Sakatsume 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L E. Navarro 2 - 1 Aug. 15, 2026
W D. Vidmanova 1 - 2 Aug. 13, 2026
L A. Bondar 0 - 2 Aug. 3, 2026
L T. Korpatsch 2 - 1 July 24, 2026

All July 20, 2026 results & picks →

32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →