TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Nishikori (moneyline) at 1.65 in K. Nishikori vs M. Antonius (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Nishikori | M. Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
73.8% | 26.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.6% | 18.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nishikori | hard | 1707 | 61–32 | 93 |
| M. Antonius | hard | 1413 | 10–8 | 18 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 1, 2026.
K. Nishikori leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | US Open | hard | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | Oct. 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Antonius | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 1 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | R. Perot | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassem Sobhy | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Pedrico Kravtsov | 1 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →