TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Nishikori (moneyline) at 1.65 in K. Nishikori vs M. Antonius (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Nishikori | M. Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
73.8% | 26.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.6% | 18.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nishikori | hard | 1714 | 61–31 | 92 |
| M. Antonius | hard | 1440 | 8–4 | 12 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 28, 2026.
K. Nishikori leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | US Open | hard | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Antonius | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 1 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Comesana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
| L | S. Massellani | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | F. L. Storck | 2 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| L | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | H. Searle | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| W | I. M. Fahim | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →