TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Mladenovic vs Xiy. Wang (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with Xiy. Wang favoured at 1.10.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Mladenovic | Xiy. Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
9.8% | 90.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
17.7% | 82.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
13.6% | 86.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mladenovic | hard | 1477 | 87–84 | 171 |
| Xiy. Wang | hard | 1677 | 92–80 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 24, 2026.
Xiy. Wang leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Lemaitre | 1 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | V. Ryser | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | T. J. Brockmann | 2 - 0 | April 14, 2026 |
| L | C. A. Herea | 2 - 0 | April 9, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Bassols | 1 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | H. Guo | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used