TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Kawa vs J. Mikulskyte (Warsaw on 2026-08-05) — the market is efficient, with K. Kawa favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Kawa | J. Mikulskyte |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.2% | 21.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.9% | 56.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.6% | 29.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kawa | clay | 1713 | 106–66 | 172 |
| J. Mikulskyte | hard | 1499 | 123–96 | 219 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | W. Ewald | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | G. T. Di | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Herrero Linana | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Bayerlova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Kubka | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used