TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. M. Garcia (moneyline) at 4.93 in K. Kawa vs C. M. Garcia (Valencia on 2026-09-14). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Kawa | C. M. Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
80.0% | 20.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.6% | 27.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
13.4% | 86.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.4% | 44.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
80.2% | 19.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kawa | clay | 1662 | 106–68 | 174 |
| C. M. Garcia | clay | 1480 | 33–21 | 54 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
C. M. Garcia leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 14, 2026 | Valencia | clay | C. M. Garcia | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. M. Garcia | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Bennemann | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | E. Gorgodze | 2 - 1 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | E. Lys | 2 - 1 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| L | J. Mikulskyte | 1 - 2 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | B. Cengiz | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Hodzic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Matoula | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | E. Lopez Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All Sept. 14, 2026 results & picks →