TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Jacquet (moneyline) at 2.22 in K. Jacquet vs L. Darderi (Tokyo on 2026-10-02). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Jacquet | L. Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.8% | 54.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.9% | 49.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.3% | 51.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jacquet | hard | 1737 | 95–67 | 162 |
| L. Darderi | hard | 1689 | 52–54 | 106 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
K. Jacquet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2026 | Tokyo | hard | K. Jacquet | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | H. Grenier | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Machac | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 0 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Berrettini | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →