TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Preston (moneyline) at 2.00 in K. Day vs T. Preston (Cincinnati on 2026-08-11). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Day | T. Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.0% | 61.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.5% | 53.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.9% | 30.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.4% | 47.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Day | hard | 1667 | 126–92 | 218 |
| T. Preston | hard | 1723 | 145–70 | 215 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
K. Day leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 11, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | K. Day | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Koike | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | E. Jones | 0 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Kaji | 0 - 0 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 2 - 0 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →