TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Day (moneyline) at 1.90 in K. Day vs S. Kenin (Osaka on 2026-10-20). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Day | S. Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.6% | 41.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.1% | 45.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.0% | 49.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
K. Day leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 20, 2026 | Osaka | hard | K. Day | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Koike | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | M. Stojsavljevic | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
All Oct. 20, 2026 results & picks →