TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Sinner -5.5 (game handicap) at 2.10 in J. Sinner vs N. Djokovic (Wimbledon on 2026-07-10). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Sinner | N. Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
83.9% | 16.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
82.0% | 18.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
77.6% | 22.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sinner | grass | 2094 | 40–11 | 51 |
| N. Djokovic | grass | 2031 | 38–5 | 43 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 12, 2026.
J. Sinner leads 9–5 over 14 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 10, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 |
| Jan. 30, 2026 | Australian Open | hard | N. Djokovic | 3 - 2 |
| Oct. 16, 2025 | Six Kings Slam | hard | J. Sinner | 2 - 0 |
| July 11, 2025 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 |
| June 6, 2025 | French Open | clay | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 |
| W | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | N. Djokovic | 3 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Brooksby | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All July 10, 2026 results & picks →