TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 38.5 games at 1.98 in J. Sinner vs A. Zverev (Wimbledon on 2026-07-12). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Sinner | A. Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
72.4% | 27.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.5% | 32.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
79.6% | 20.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 12, 2026.
J. Sinner leads 10–4 over 14 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Sinner | 3 - 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Madrid | clay | J. Sinner | 2 - 0 |
| April 11, 2026 | Monte Carlo | clay | J. Sinner | 2 - 0 |
| March 28, 2026 | Miami | hard | J. Sinner | 2 - 0 |
| March 14, 2026 | ATP Indian Wells | hard | J. Sinner | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | N. Djokovic | 3 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Brooksby | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Fery | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →