TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Rodionov vs D. Lajovic (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with D. Lajovic favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Rodionov | D. Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.5% | 49.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.5% | 57.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.7% | 66.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rodionov | hard | 1651 | 134–95 | 229 |
| D. Lajovic | clay | 1639 | 99–80 | 179 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 14, 2026.
J. Rodionov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. McDonald | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | P. Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. J. Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 0 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | C. Rodesch | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used