TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Riera vs D. Britton (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with J. Riera favoured at 1.24.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Riera | D. Britton |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.5% | 44.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.0% | 31.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.4% | 34.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.8% | 27.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Riera | clay | 1648 | 164–91 | 255 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 26, 2026.
J. Riera leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Riera | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Perez Alarcon | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | N. V. Leme Da Silva | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Bohrer Martins | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | G. Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Pircher | 2 - 1 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. V. Pop | 1 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | S. A. Larraya Guidi | 2 - 0 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | V. Golubic | 2 - 0 | June 8, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used