TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Pegula vs D. Vidmanova (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with J. Pegula favoured at 1.10.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Pegula | D. Vidmanova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
80.4% | 19.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.0% | 23.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.2% | 31.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
78.4% | 21.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
86.4% | 13.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pegula | hard | 2077 | 192–73 | 265 |
| D. Vidmanova | hard | 1784 | 68–22 | 90 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
J. Pegula leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Frech | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Stephens | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used