TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Mikulskyte vs L. Bronzetti (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with L. Bronzetti favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Mikulskyte | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
31.2% | 68.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.9% | 68.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.0% | 82.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mikulskyte | hard | 1499 | 123–96 | 219 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| June 13, 2022 | Gaiba | grass | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| W | W. Ewald | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | G. T. Di | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Herrero Linana | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Bayerlova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Kubka | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used