TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. J. Schwaerzler vs C. O'Connell (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with C. O'Connell favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. J. Schwaerzler | C. O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.5% | 71.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.7% | 73.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.8% | 81.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. J. Schwaerzler | clay | 1603 | 87–62 | 149 |
| C. O'Connell | hard | 1700 | 131–96 | 227 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
C. O'Connell leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | C. O'Connell | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Krumich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Mrva | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | F. Bondioli | 2 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Martin | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. McDonald | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used