TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Faria vs L. Pavlovic (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with J. Faria favoured at 1.35.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Faria | L. Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.9% | 25.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.7% | 30.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Faria | clay | 1796 | 92–74 | 166 |
| L. Pavlovic | clay | 1555 | 129–77 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
J. Faria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Faria | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. O'Connell | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Martineau | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Alkaya | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used