TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Faria vs H. Grenier (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with J. Faria favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Faria | H. Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.9% | 33.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.4% | 25.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.1% | 26.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.3% | 21.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Faria | clay | 1796 | 92–74 | 166 |
| H. Grenier | hard | 1583 | 148–117 | 265 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
J. Faria leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Faria | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 1, 2023 | Porto Challenger Men | hard | J. Faria | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. O'Connell | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Santillan | 0 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | C. Vandermeersch | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. U. Kask | 1 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | P. Inchauspe | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | T. Berard | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used