TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Faria vs G. Dimitrov (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with J. Faria favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Faria | G. Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.7% | 37.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Faria | clay | 1796 | 92–74 | 166 |
| G. Dimitrov | hard | 1828 | 105–74 | 179 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
J. Faria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Faria | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. O'Connell | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Svrcina | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 2 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Mensik | 1 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used