TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Clarke vs A. Pellegrino (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with J. Clarke favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Clarke | A. Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.5% | 37.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.4% | 38.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.6% | 35.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Clarke | clay | 1501 | 123–65 | 188 |
| A. Pellegrino | clay | 1724 | 175–135 | 310 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
A. Pellegrino leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Kym | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Wessels | 1 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Paardekooper | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Visser | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Bueno | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Silva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used