TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Choinski vs A. Andrade (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with J. Choinski favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Choinski | A. Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.1% | 34.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.9% | 38.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Choinski | clay | 1806 | 151–83 | 234 |
| A. Andrade | clay | 1584 | 82–53 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
J. Choinski leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. A. Gomez | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | F. Passaro | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Ilagan | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | B. Shick | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Kasnikowski | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | C. Smith | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used