TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. C. Prado Angelo vs N. Sanchez Izquierdo (Umag on 2026-07-12) — the market is efficient, with N. Sanchez Izquierdo favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. C. Prado Angelo | N. Sanchez Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
37.5% | 62.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.2% | 53.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. C. Prado Angelo | clay | 1637 | 136–89 | 225 |
| N. Sanchez Izquierdo | clay | 1629 | 206–158 | 364 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Umag | clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 28, 2025 | Piracicaba | clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Neumayer | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Vasa | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used