TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Bouzas Maneiro vs E. Navarro (Nottingham on 2026-06-19) — the market is efficient, with E. Navarro favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Bouzas Maneiro | E. Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.3% | 66.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bouzas Maneiro | clay | 1679 | 122–67 | 189 |
| E. Navarro | hard | 1713 | 86–63 | 149 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 19, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 |
| May 26, 2025 | French Open | clay | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 19, 2026 results & picks →
JSON parse error — mathematical summary: J. Bouzas Maneiro shows 3.3% edge at 2.66 odds (consensus: 36.6% vs market 33.3%). Manual review recommended.