TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Li vs V. Golubic (Nottingham on 2026-06-19) — the market is efficient, with A. Li favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Li | V. Golubic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.6% | 72.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.6% | 60.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.6% | 52.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Li | hard | 1725 | 116–89 | 205 |
| V. Golubic | hard | 1724 | 118–68 | 186 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 19, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 |
| June 30, 2025 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Li | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used