TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Shymanovich vs H. Kinoshita (Newport on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with I. Shymanovich favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Shymanovich | H. Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.6% | 26.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.8% | 39.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Shymanovich | clay | 1569 | 86–52 | 138 |
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1598 | 80–60 | 140 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 1, 2026.
I. Shymanovich leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Newport | grass | I. Shymanovich | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Raina | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | R. Brantmeier | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Stoiana | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Okamura | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Hosogi | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | I. Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used