TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Burillo Escorihuela vs K. Quevedo (Bastad on 2026-07-09) — the market is efficient, with K. Quevedo favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Burillo Escorihuela | K. Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.0% | 80.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
11.7% | 88.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
22.8% | 77.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.0% | 80.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.6% | 81.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Burillo Escorihuela | clay | 1508 | 132–127 | 259 |
| K. Quevedo | clay | 1748 | 90–49 | 139 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
K. Quevedo leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 29, 2026 | Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualification | clay | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 |
| July 9, 2026 | Bastad | clay | K. Quevedo | 2 - 1 |
| April 16, 2025 | W100 Madrid | clay | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 1 |
| W | I. M. Serban | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Lansere | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 1 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Monnet | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | I. Fetecau | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
All July 9, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used