TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Watson vs M. Sherif (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with H. Watson favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Watson | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.1% | 22.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.1% | 22.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.4% | 39.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
H. Watson leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Watson | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 18, 2022 | Australian Open | hard | H. Watson | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Pareja | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 1 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used