TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Vandewinkel vs D. Yastremska (Parma on 2026-05-13) — the market is efficient, with D. Yastremska favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Vandewinkel | D. Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.4% | 35.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.2% | 41.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.3% | 39.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.1% | 58.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Vandewinkel | clay | 1593 | 99–62 | 161 |
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1707 | 86–81 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 26, 2026.
D. Yastremska leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Parma | clay | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | W. Falkowska | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
All May 13, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used