TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Krejcikova vs A-L. Friedsam (Parma on 2026-05-13) — the market is efficient, with B. Krejcikova favoured at 1.11.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Krejcikova | A-L. Friedsam |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.7% | 45.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
84.4% | 15.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Krejcikova | hard | 1893 | 82–51 | 133 |
| A-L. Friedsam | hard | 1564 | 84–70 | 154 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
B. Krejcikova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Parma | clay | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Zaar | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Pastikova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Cherubini | 1 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
All May 13, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used