TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Tan vs M. Pohankova (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with M. Pohankova favoured at 1.55.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Tan | M. Pohankova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.8% | 45.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.0% | 59.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Tan | hard | 1606 | 144–100 | 244 |
| M. Pohankova | hard | 1686 | 33–11 | 44 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 15, 2026.
H. Tan leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Tan | 2 - 1 |
| March 25, 2026 | W50 Croissy-Beaubourg (France), Hard (Indoor) | — | H. Tan | 2 - 1 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | T. C. Grant | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Adeshina | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | C. W. Hennemann | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | E. Gorgodze | 2 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | H. Tan | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | R. Masarova | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used