TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Sakatsume +4.0 (game handicap) at 2.45 in H. Sakatsume vs T. Valentova (Hong Kong on 2026-11-03). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Sakatsume | T. Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.1% | 71.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
14.9% | 85.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
27.4% | 72.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.5% | 69.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Sakatsume | hard | 1649 | 173–109 | 282 |
| T. Valentova | hard | 1795 | 83–28 | 111 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
T. Valentova leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 3, 2026 | Hong Kong | hard | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 |
| July 19, 2025 | Porto | hard | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 |
| March 15, 2024 | W75 Ricany | hard | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 |
| L | Z. Bai | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | Huang Yujia | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Subasic | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Pohankova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | E. S. Liang | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Nov. 3, 2026 results & picks →