H. Rune vs V. Vacherot — Prediction & Analysis

Basel · · Oct. 30, 2026 · 09:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing V. Vacherot (moneyline) at 2.26 in H. Rune vs V. Vacherot (Basel on 2026-10-30). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds H. Rune 1.70 · V. Vacherot 1.81

Bot bet

V. Vacherot (moneyline) @ 2.26 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: H. Rune · V. Vacherot · head-to-head record · Basel

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method H. Rune V. Vacherot
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
52.7% 47.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
46.6% 53.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
39.1% 60.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.1% 53.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
51.6% 48.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
H. Rune hard1858 133–77210
V. Vacherot hard1907 124–58182

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.

Head to head

V. Vacherot leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 30, 2026BaselhardV. Vacherot2 - 1
Oct. 9, 2025ShanghaihardV. Vacherot2 - 1

Recent form

H. Rune

L T. Fritz Walk Over Nov. 12, 2026
W M. Kecmanovic 1 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W Z. Bergs 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L T. Paul 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L V. Vacherot 1 - 2 Oct. 30, 2026

V. Vacherot

L N. Djokovic 2 - 1 Nov. 3, 2026
W J. Lehecka 1 - 2 Nov. 1, 2026
W T. Fritz 2 - 0 Oct. 31, 2026
W H. Rune 1 - 2 Oct. 30, 2026
W R. Jodar 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026

All Oct. 30, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →