H. Rocha vs L. Harris — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · ATP US Open - Semi-finals · Aug. 26, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 23.0 games at 1.94 in H. Rocha vs L. Harris (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds H. Rocha 1.95 · L. Harris 1.83

Bot bet

Under 23.0 games @ 1.94 · 0.75u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: H. Rocha · L. Harris · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method H. Rocha L. Harris
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
32.8% 67.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
37.7% 62.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
24.6% 75.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
36.7% 63.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
48.4% 51.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
H. Rocha hard1641 91–49140
L. Harris hard1806 112–67179

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 26, 2026.

Head to head

L. Harris leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 26, 2026US OpenhardL. Harris2 - 1

Recent form

H. Rocha

L D. Lajovic 0 - 2 Sept. 11, 2026
W S. Rodriguez Taverna 2 - 0 Sept. 10, 2026
W C. Taberner 2 - 0 Sept. 8, 2026
L L. Harris 1 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W M. Mmoh 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026

L. Harris

L S. Tsitsipas 1 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
W J. Kennedy 3 - 0 Aug. 30, 2026
W P. Llamas Ruiz 2 - 0 Aug. 28, 2026
W H. Rocha 1 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W B. Tomic 1 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026

All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →