TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Kinoshita vs V. Tomova (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with V. Tomova favoured at 1.74.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Kinoshita | V. Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.2% | 74.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.2% | 52.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1598 | 80–60 | 140 |
| V. Tomova | hard | 1607 | 85–80 | 165 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
H. Kinoshita leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Okamura | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Hosogi | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | I. Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 | June 6, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 1 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 1 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used