TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 21.5 games at 2.12 in H. Hurkacz vs Y. Zhou (Shanghai on 2026-10-11). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Hurkacz | Y. Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
90.2% | 9.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
87.7% | 12.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.5% | 61.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.1% | 27.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.5% | 17.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1884 | 145–90 | 235 |
| Y. Zhou | hard | 1591 | 87–83 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 2, 2026.
H. Hurkacz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 11, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Kumasaka | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | E. Ymer | 1 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Oct. 11, 2026 results & picks →