TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Gaston vs L. Midon (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with H. Gaston favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Gaston | L. Midon |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.6% | 44.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.3% | 35.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.3% | 21.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
H. Gaston leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Gaston | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Chan | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Torres | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | F. Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Marcondes | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | V. W. Rejchtman | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | Z. Piros | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used