TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Gaston vs F. Cina (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with H. Gaston favoured at 1.87.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Gaston | F. Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.5% | 62.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.1% | 49.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
H. Gaston leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Gaston | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Chan | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Torres | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | E. Ymer | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Giustino | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used