G. Ruse vs A. Potapova — Prediction & Analysis

Toronto · WTA Toronto - 1/32-finals · Aug. 4, 2026 · 18:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Ruse (moneyline) at 2.24 in G. Ruse vs A. Potapova (Toronto on 2026-08-04). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds G. Ruse 2.24 · A. Potapova 1.74

Bot bet

G. Ruse (moneyline) @ 2.24 · 0.75u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: G. Ruse · A. Potapova · head-to-head record · Toronto

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method G. Ruse A. Potapova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
57.6% 42.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
52.8% 47.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
54.4% 45.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
51.5% 48.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
43.7% 56.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
G. Ruse hard1742 87–64151
A. Potapova hard1727 85–87172

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 10, 2026.

Head to head

A. Potapova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 4, 2026TorontohardA. Potapova2 - 0

Recent form

G. Ruse

L Y. Putintseva 0 - 1 Oct. 10, 2026
L L. Noskova 2 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026
W L. Tagger 2 - 0 Sept. 30, 2026
L A. Bondar 2 - 1 Sept. 26, 2026
W Y. Ku 1 - 2 Sept. 24, 2026

A. Potapova

L S. Kraus 0 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026
L M. Andreeva 2 - 1 Sept. 7, 2026
W A. Anisimova 2 - 0 Sept. 5, 2026
W L. Jeanjean 2 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W D. Semenistaja 2 - 0 Sept. 1, 2026

All Aug. 4, 2026 results & picks →

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