TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Minnen vs M. Brengle (Newport on 2026-07-10) — the market is efficient, with G. Minnen favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Minnen | M. Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.4% | 23.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.9% | 32.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
76.4% | 23.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.9% | 27.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Minnen | hard | 1667 | 122–81 | 203 |
| M. Brengle | hard | 1555 | 113–68 | 181 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
G. Minnen leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 10, 2026 | Newport | grass | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | E. Jones | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Vagramov | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Naito | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
All July 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used