TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Minnen vs K. Volynets (Newport on 2026-07-11) — the market is efficient, with K. Volynets favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Minnen | K. Volynets |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.4% | 34.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.1% | 55.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Minnen | hard | 1667 | 122–81 | 203 |
| K. Volynets | hard | 1758 | 111–90 | 201 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
K. Volynets leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 11, 2026 | Newport | grass | K. Volynets | 2 - 0 |
| May 6, 2023 | Saint Malo Challenger Women | clay | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 9, 2022 | Concord | hard | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
All July 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used