TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Knutson vs J. Garland (Birmingham on 2026-06-01) — the market is efficient, with J. Garland favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Knutson | J. Garland |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.9% | 44.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.9% | 40.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.3% | 57.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Knutson | hard | 1531 | 131–86 | 217 |
| J. Garland | hard | 1677 | 143–69 | 212 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | G. Knutson | 2 - 0 |
| July 23, 2023 | WTA Warsaw | clay | J. Garland | 2 - 0 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. C. Grant | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Naef | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | R. Montgomery | 2 - 0 | June 7, 2026 |
| W | B. Du Pree | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 2 - 0 | June 2, 2026 |
All June 1, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used