TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Den Ouden vs Y. Zhou (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with Y. Zhou favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Den Ouden | Y. Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.9% | 80.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.9% | 53.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
19.9% | 80.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.2% | 60.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Den Ouden | clay | 1695 | 124–56 | 180 |
| Y. Zhou | hard | 1538 | 78–75 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Y. Zhou leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | Y. Zhou | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | T. Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | R. Nijboer | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Geerts | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | T. Pereira | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | S. Kozlov | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used