TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Cadenasso vs F. Cina (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with F. Cina favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Cadenasso | F. Cina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.1% | 62.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Cadenasso | clay | 1634 | 101–62 | 163 |
| F. Cina | hard | 1683 | 55–35 | 90 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 1, 2026.
F. Cina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | F. Cina | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Cina | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 1 | June 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Riedi | 1 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Broady | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | May 7, 2026 |
| W | E. Ymer | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Giustino | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used