F. Marozsan vs Z. Svajda — Prediction & Analysis

Shanghai · ATP Shanghai - 1/64-finals · Oct. 7, 2026 · 02:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing F. Marozsan (moneyline) at 1.94 in F. Marozsan vs Z. Svajda (Shanghai on 2026-10-07). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds F. Marozsan 1.74 · Z. Svajda 1.93

Bot bet

F. Marozsan (moneyline) @ 1.94 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: F. Marozsan · Z. Svajda · head-to-head record · Shanghai

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method F. Marozsan Z. Svajda
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
56.7% 43.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
58.6% 41.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
48.6% 51.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
54.6% 45.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
52.6% 47.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
F. Marozsan hard1730 80–64144
Z. Svajda hard1701 150–109259

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 25, 2026.

Head to head

Z. Svajda leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 8, 2026ShanghaihardZ. Svajda2 - 0

Recent form

F. Marozsan

L T. Machac Walk Over Oct. 25, 2026
W S. Sorger 2 - 1 Oct. 24, 2026
W T. Skatov 2 - 0 Oct. 20, 2026
L Z. Svajda 0 - 2 Oct. 8, 2026
L K. Jacquet 0 - 2 Sept. 27, 2026

Z. Svajda

L T. A. Tirante 2 - 1 Oct. 31, 2026
L J. M. Cerundolo 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
L L. Tien 2 - 0 Oct. 10, 2026
W F. Marozsan 0 - 2 Oct. 8, 2026
L A. Kovacevic 1 - 2 Sept. 28, 2026

All Oct. 7, 2026 results & picks →

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