TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Duckworth +2.5 (game handicap) at 1.89 in F. Marozsan vs J. Duckworth (Winston-Salem on 2026-08-28). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Marozsan | J. Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
29.0% | 71.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.1% | 39.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marozsan | hard | 1746 | 76–61 | 137 |
| J. Duckworth | hard | 1721 | 197–131 | 328 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.
J. Duckworth leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | Winston-Salem | hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Zheng | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | J. Duckworth | 1 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 1 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | Y. Wu | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 1 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Marozsan | 1 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 0 - 1 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
All Aug. 28, 2026 results & picks →