TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Duckworth +2.5 (game handicap) at 1.89 in F. Marozsan vs J. Duckworth (Winston-Salem on 2026-08-28). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Marozsan | J. Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
29.0% | 71.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.1% | 39.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marozsan | hard | 1730 | 80–64 | 144 |
| J. Duckworth | hard | 1674 | 199–138 | 337 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 25, 2026.
J. Duckworth leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | Winston-Salem | hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Machac | Walk Over | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorger | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | Sept. 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
All Aug. 28, 2026 results & picks →