AI match preview for F. Maestrelli vs P. Henning (Hersonissos 3 on 2026-11-14): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. F. Maestrelli is the market favourite at 1.71.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Maestrelli | P. Henning |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
78.9% | 21.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Maestrelli | hard | 1654 | 88–68 | 156 |
| P. Henning | hard | 1609 | 136–44 | 180 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
| W | S. Nagal | 2 - 1 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | J. Monday | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Loge | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | P. Makk | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Carboni | 0 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. Cretu | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | R. M. Papoe | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | C. A. Caniato | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Hemery | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All Nov. 14, 2026 results & picks →