TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Jorge vs X. Gao (Caldas da Rainha on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with X. Gao favoured at 1.64.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Jorge | X. Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.0% | 58.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.7% | 52.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.8% | 61.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.8% | 57.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.0% | 59.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.
X. Gao leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 19, 2023 | ITF W40 Porto 3 Women | hard | X. Gao | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | K. Kuzmova | 2 - 1 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | G. da Silva Fick | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| L | C. Fontenel | 2 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Kuzmova | 1 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | S. Johnson | 2 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 1 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Palicova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Mintegi Del Olmo | 0 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | Z. Li | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →