TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Garland (moneyline) at 2.60 in F. Jones vs J. Garland (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Jones | J. Garland |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.7% | 59.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.1% | 33.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jones | hard | 1671 | 38–30 | 68 |
| J. Garland | hard | 1703 | 150–71 | 221 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
F. Jones leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | US Open | hard | F. Jones | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Dencheva | 1 - 2 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | R. Serban | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 1 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | J. Garland | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Wei | 0 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bai | 0 - 2 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | V. Morvayova | 0 - 0 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Kulikova | 1 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →