TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Garland (moneyline) at 2.60 in F. Jones vs J. Garland (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Jones | J. Garland |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.7% | 59.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.1% | 33.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jones | hard | 1671 | 38–30 | 68 |
| J. Garland | hard | 1735 | 158–74 | 232 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
F. Jones leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | US Open | hard | F. Jones | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. V. Leme Da Silva | 0 - 1 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Souza | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. F. Urrutia | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | D. Galfi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | F. Jorge | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | O. Gadecki | 2 - 0 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | S. Wei | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | H. Sato | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →