TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Jones vs A. Senica (Ljubljana on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with F. Jones favoured at 1.02.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Jones | A. Senica |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
89.6% | 10.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
94.6% | 5.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
84.2% | 15.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
87.6% | 12.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 10, 2026.
| L | R. Dencheva | 1 - 2 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | R. Serban | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 1 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | J. Garland | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Shapatava | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| L | K. Mrazikova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Biro | 2 - 0 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Blazkova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Andrienko | 2 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →